Escape: Georgetown 52, Rutgers 50

Georgetown overcame its worst shooting stretch of the season Saturday, combining defensive discipline and clutch free-throw shooting to eke out a 52-50 win over Rutgers. The Hoyas trailed for nearly the entire game, leading just three times for a combined one and a half minutes. But it was the last lead, brought about by six straight points by freshman Otto Porter, that gave Georgetown the decisive advantage.

It was tough sledding from the get-go for the Hoyas, who made just one field goal in the first six minutes, and just two in the first ten, all while falling behind 13-7. Rutgers brought defensive identity from the opening tip, denying Georgetown on the perimeter, and fishing out the ball from the post. The Hoyas, unable to find the open looks to which they were accustomed, resorted to out-of-rhythm hoists that inevitably bricked. Things didn’t get much better as the half wore on, as Porter’s jumper with 9:39 remaining was the Hoyas’ third and last field goal of the half. Still, Georgetown stayed in it, effectively mixing zone and man defenses to stifle the Scarlet Knight offense.  The Hoyas erased a six-point Rutgers lead and even took the lead on two Nate Lubick free throws with 4:25 remaining. 

Foul shots were the theme of the afternoon, as the flip side of the Scarlet Knights’ defensive tenacity was their relentless fouling. The Hoyas were sent to the line for 18 first-half free throws and, in a welcome recovery from their recent woes, made 14. On the day, Georgetown shot 36 free-throws, making 25 (both second this season only to the Hoyas’ 29-of-42 performance against Howard). Unfortunately, Lubick’s makes were Georgetown’s last points of the half, and a two-point Hoya lead became a five-point disadvantage by the half.

While the Hoyas’ offensive struggles continued into the second half, Rutgers never pulled away, building a lead that never stretched past six. Georgetown, for all its shooting woes, actually played a pretty good game otherwise. A Hoya team that has struggled with turnovers recently committed 14 on Saturday–a number that, while not exactly stingy, was good enough against a sticky-fingered Rutgers defense. And Georgetown continued its recent dominance on the boards, nabbing four more offensive rebounds than Rutgers (even though the Scarlet Knights missed four more shots). Finally, the Hoyas played pretty good defense themselves, holding Rutgers under 38 percent from the field, and to a similarly low number from two. As has been the case several times this season, the Hoya freshmen receive much of the credit for the defensive performance, as Porter, Greg Whittington (7 points, 5 rebounds) and Jabril Trawick (2 points, 2 assists) each brought defensive grit, particularly in the second half.

Tough defense and a brief spout of offensive competence finally got the Hoyas back in the game, tying it at 38 midway through the second half. Ties followed at 40 and 42, followed–at last!–by a Hoya lead, 44-42. Opportunity no sooner appeared than it seemed to slip away, thanks to renewed offensive ineptitude. The Hoyas managed just a point for more than four minutes, while Rutgers rebuilt a five-point lead with barely two minutes to play.

But in a game of shifting fortunes, the pendulum swung once more. The Hoyas locked down on defense and found yet another hero in a season full of them. After a Henry Sims free throw (team highs with 12 points, 10 rebounds, 3 blocks) made the deficit four, Georgetown got three straight stout defensive stops. Each time, the Hoyas gave the ball to Porter. Lubick stole the ball then arced a beautiful full-court pass to a streaking Porter, who laid the ball in to trim the difference to two. After Jason Clark (11 points, 5 rebounds) drew an offensive foul, Porter hit a mid-range jumper to even the game with barely a minute to play. A perfect defensive possession resulted in a desperation Rutgers three, giving the Hoyas the unlikely chance to win, which Porter converted from the line with eight seconds remaining.

This win, like the one over Providence on New Year’s Eve, is sort of a Rorschach test for the fan’s feelings about the Hoyas. The optimist will assert that the Hoyas, in seasons past a strong offensive team that struggled when their shots weren’t falling, have found new ways to win. To be sure, there’s support for this view. As mentioned above, the Hoyas put in a strong performance on defense and on the boards, weaknesses in seasons gone by. And Georgetown has now won three games in which it has failed to score sixty points (Providence and Alabama being the two others), a feat which it accomplished not at all last year and just once the season before.

Of course, there’s ample material for the pessimist as well. The offensive droughts were excruciating, an echo of struggles throughout this season. With Markel Starks (three points) struggling recently, it’s hard to shake the nagging feeling that the Hoyas are one scorer short. Saturday, that feeling was more than nagging, as the Hoyas shot just 3 of 24 in the first half and less than 30 percent for the game.

Whose view prevails remains to be seen. But Georgetown finished a three-game stretch against inferior but tricky teams: St. John’s with young offensive promise; DePaul with harried pressure; and Rutgers with sticky, grabbing defense. As they should have, the Hoyas won all three. Those wins look all the more essential when looking at the standings where, behind the hated (and, alas, undefeated) Orange, there’s a logjam of five teams with two losses apiece.

Now, Georgetown enjoys a week before traveling to Pittsburgh.  In the meantime, Hoya Saxa.

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Game Preview: Rutgers at #10/#12 Georgetown

Georgetown will try to win its third straight Saturday when it returns home to host a feisty Rutgers team. Here’s what you need to get yourself ready.

When & Where. Saturday, Jan. 21, 12 p.m. EST, Verizon Center.

TV/Internet/Radio. MASN/ESPN3/SportsTalk570.

It’s Been So Long Since Last We Met. In his second year at the helm, coach Mike Rice has one of the youngest teams in the country. Rice favors a deep rotation, trotting out 10 different players for at least 10 minutes per game. That group includes five freshmen, three sophomores, and two juniors, making Georgetown’s young lineup look grizzled by comparison. Aside from a couple of blips though (a loss to Princeton, barely edging Dartmouth), Rutgers has looked and played much better than last year, when a senior-heavy squad went just 5-13 in the Big East. Highlights among the Scarlet Knights’ 11-8, 3-3 tally so far include home wins over Florida and Connecticut and a dominating 23-point win at an admittedly slumping (free-falling?) Pittsburgh.

Scarlet Knights to Know. Rice’s rotations prevent any one player from dominating the headlines, but there’s definitely a youth movement afoot in New Jersey. Freshmen guards Eli Carter (13.7 ppg, 2.2 apg, 1.2 stl pg) and Jerome Seagears (7.7 ppg, 2.3 apg) lead the Scarlet Knight attack. Fellow freshman guard (and, along with Carter, St. Anthony’s (N.J.) alumnus) Myles Mack (10.2 ppg, 2.1 apg, 1.5 stl pg) comes off the bench but enjoys roughly equal playing time to his two classmates and packs a similar scoring punch. All three are capable if not exceptional long-distance shooters, and each excels at creating plays off the bounce. In addition to the influx of back-court talent, Rutgers returns two starters. Sophomore forward Gilvydas Biruta (9.9 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 1.1 stl pg) brings size and energy, while junior forward Dane Miller (7.0 ppg, 6.2 rpg, 1.5 stl pg, 1.9 blk pg). Overall, the Scarlet Knights have been transformed into an energetic, tough bunch, a reflection of Rice’s intensity.  

When Rutgers Has the Ball.

Scarlet Knights’ Strength. Offensive rebounding. That energy and toughness haven’t translated to great offensive production so far. Rutgers hasn’t scored 70 or more in Big East play yet, and sports middling shooting numbers. But the Scarlet Knights get after it on the offensive boards, grabbing more than 38 percent of their own misses, a top-25 mark nationally. While that number has dipped during conference play, the Knights will continue to attack the rim Saturday. Georgetown dominated the boards against both DePaul and St. John’s and will need to do so again against Rutgers.

Hoyas’ Strength. Use length to force bad shots. Georgetown has held five Big East opponents under 45 percent shooting, winning each of those contests, and failed to do so in two conference games, both losses. The Scarlet Knights aren’t great shooters. The Hoyas’ length should limit perimeter looks for Rutgers’ undersized back-court. They’ll still need to contain the Knights’ guards penetration, an issue that crept up against Cincinnati and West Virginia.

Looming Question. Press? Rutgers’ biggest offensive weakness is protecting the ball: the Knights give the ball away 15 times per game, and Carter, Mack, Biruta, and Miller each average at least two miscues apiece. While Georgetown’s defense hasn’t taken the ball away in conference play at the same rate it did earlier in the season, the Hoyas pressured and trapped their way to several easy transition baskets against DePaul. Extending the defense against Rutgers’s young back-court may produce a similar slew of open buckets.

When Georgetown Has the Ball.

Hoyas’ Strength. Establish Henry Sims. Big Hank will have a height advantage on whoever is guarding him, whether Rice throws Biruta, freshman Derrick Randall, or junior Austin Johnson, all 6’8″, at the big fella. And Rutgers as a whole is prone to foul trouble, rating last in the conference in the number of free throws it yields compared to shots overall. Those foul shots come more easily when the Hoyas use Sims, whether driving from the high post or getting position down low. Finally, the Hoyas are second in the conference in field goal percentage: the clean looks needed to make so many shots come a lot more easily when their leading assist man, Sims, is opening up opportunities for perimeter shooters.

Scarlet Knights’ Strength. Forcing turnovers. As against DePaul, Georgetown’s offensive weakness is the opponent’s strength. Rutgers’s scrappy defensive attack forces nine steals per game, with five different Scarlet Knights averaging better than a steal per game. The Hoyas, for their part, have been in the bottom quarter of the league in turnover rate during conference play. Sims and Jason Clark have given the ball away the most, due in part to their high usage rate. But better protecting the ball must be a point of emphasis for all of the Hoyas against the Knights’ sticky fingers. Hopefully Markel Starks, who missed the DePaul game with a stomach illness, will return to help with ball-handling.

Looming Question. Offensive rebounding? The Hoyas have emerged as an offensive rebounding force in the last two games, grabbing better than fifty percent of their own misses. Rutgers, like St. John’s and DePaul, struggles to keep its opponents off the offensive glass, ranking just 11th in the league and below 200th nationally in that category. In addition to Sims’s expected size advantage, Greg Whittington, Otto Porter, and Hollis Thompson all may be able to grab boards over their defenders’ heads.

Prediction. Rutgers has been fairly predictable over the past several years: tricky in New Jersey, tame elsewhere. Since 2000, Rutgers has lost all nine games against the Hoyas in D.C., but has battled them to a nearly even 4-5 draw in New Brunswick. This year, in addition to being downright dangerous at home, the Scarlet Knights have shown signs of life on the road, drubbing a(n admittedly reeling) Pitt team that enjoys a substantial home court advantage. Saturday, Georgetown will enjoy superior experience and size, and should use both to its advantage. But, as seen most clearly in DePaul’s eight-point possession Tuesday, turnovers can prove a killer if the Hoyas aren’t careful. Georgetown 68, Rutgers 58.

Ed. Note 1/20/2012: Sophomore center Moses Ayegba, who suffered a torn ACL over the summer, appears to be making some progress toward a return. The Post‘s Tarik El-Bashir tweeted Monday that Ayegba has been cleared for “controlled, non-contact drills” and was on the floor during practice before the Hoyas’ game against DePaul. Yesterday, Elliott Smith of CBSSports.com posted that Ayegba participated in “limited drills” but that JTIII stated that a decision concerning Ayegba’s return was “several weeks away.” Given the difference between drills and full game play, Ayegba’s previous inexperience, and Thompson’s projected time frame, Ayegba’s return, previously presumed to be next season, does not seem imminent. Any return likely would have implications for his ability to obtain a medical redshirt, and the additional year of eligibility, for this year’s injury.

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Boardwork: Georgetown 83, DePaul 75

On Sunday, Georgetown rode a dominant rebounding effort and a hot hand to a road conference victory. Tuesday, the formula was much the same, as the Hoyas relied on Jason Clark’s sharpshooting and team board work en route to a 83-75 win at DePaul.

Clark led all scorers, hitting 11 of 14 shots, 5 of 7 from three, en route to a career-high 31 points. The senior guard re-found his outside stroke, which had eluded him throughout a 4-for-22 three-point slump over the past six games. But he also played to his strengths, slashing to the hoop and pushing the ball in transition. Clark also affected the game in other ways, assuming primary ball-handling duties in the absence of point guard Markel Starks (who was sidelined with a stomach bug), swiping four steals, and grabbing five rebounds.

And Clark wasn’t alone on the glass, as six Hoyas grabbed at least four rebounds over an undersized Blue Demon squad. Leading the charge to the boards was Otto Porter, who grabbed a career-high 15 rebounds, his fifth double-digit rebound game in just eighteen career appearances. Porter continued to show a nose for the ball, also racking up two steals and two blocks even as he struggled through a rough shooting night.

The Hoyas particularly thrived on the offensive boards, where more Hoya misses found their way into Hoya hands (17) than into those of the Blue Demons (15). Senior post Henry Sims generated the most second chances, grabbing four offensive rebounds and seven misses over all while also scoring 13 16 points.

It wasn’t all good news for Georgetown, which struggled to cope with DePaul’s frenetic pace. The Blue Demons forced 18 Hoya turnovers, most in their full-court press. While Porter gave the ball away a team-high five times, the miscues were fairly evenly distributed. Some of the mistakes were to be expected: the Blue Demons thrive on taking the ball away in the full-court press. What’s more, the Hoyas were without Starks, frequently Georgetown’s lead guard, making the DePaul pressure all the more daunting. Even so, Georgetown’s tendency to fork the ball over was troubling, made all the more so by DePaul’s ability to capitalize on those mistakes. Those mistakes allowed DePaul runs that kept the Hoyas from pulling away in a contest they led nearly wire to wire.

DePaul also managed to stay close because Georgetown could not hit free throws. Clark missed five of his nine tries, while Hollis Thompson (14 points, 5 rebounds, 2 steals) bricked both of his. As a team, the Hoyas hit just 16 of their 28 free throws, continuing a five-game slump in which they have made just 61 percent of their free throws.

Even so, Georgetown put the game away. After DePaul rattled off eight straight points without the Hoyas advancing the ball past half-court, the lead stood at just 48-46, and the sparse Blue Demon crowd had come to its feet, cheering through the Hoya timeout. But a pair of offensive put-backs, one by Thompson and another by Greg Whittington (five rebounds, four points), sandwiched around a Clark fast-break lay-in, made the advantage eight. Georgetown was never really threatened again, stretching the lead to 14 before holding on for the win.

For those prone to complain about the state of Hoya hoops, games at DePaul are a sobering reminder of what could be. These contests are observed by a few thousand in a soulless facility, far closer to the airport than campus, where banners tout the achievements of minor league hockey and arena football squads. During a visiting team’s run, the loud clapping of a few opposing fans echoes, making the meager home crowd seem all the more so. On Tuesday, it was evident that the DePaul faithful, supporters of a team so long the laughingstock of the Big East, desperately want their team to matter again. For a while, the Blue Demons looked ready to satisfy that yearning, scoring in bunches and swarming with full-court pressure. But, whatever their errors throughout the game, the Hoyas got just enough offense from Clark and just enough work on the glass to keep DePaul at arm’s length.

The two-game, two-win road trip means the Hoyas held serve while five other Big East teams teams also have two conference losses. Now, the Hoyas return to their home court, where on Saturday they’ll face a young Rutgers squad that already has beaten a pair of top-10 teams at home while compiling a 3-3 conference mark. In the meantime, Hoya Saxa.

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Game Preview: #10/#12 Georgetown at DePaul

Georgetown tries to pick up its third road conference win this season when the Hoyas roll into Chicago for Tuesday’s match-up with DePaul. Here’s what you need to get yourself ready.

When & Where. Tuesday, Jan. 17, 7 p.m. EST, Allstate Arena, Rosemont, Ill.

TV/Internet/Radio. ESPN2/ESPN3/SportsTalk570.

It’s Been So Long Since Last We Met. Georgetown beat DePaul on New Year’s Day 2011; the Blue Demons went on to finish their first season under coach Oliver Purnell much as they had their last season under the old regime, basement dwellers in the Big East at 1-17. This year figured to be better, as the young players whom Purnell threw to the wolves last year came back with some seasoning. And, by DePaul’s modest standards, there has been improvement: the Demons beat two major conference non-Big East opponents (sure, they were fellow lightweights Arizona State and Texas Tech, but DePaul can’t really afford to quibble), then pulled off what  at the time looked like an upset over Pittsburgh (which now has lost six straight and counting). That has proved to be the Demons’ lone conference win so far, one outweighed by four losses, all by at least sixteen. Still, DePaul already has won 10 games, three more than last year, and can pull off the upset of the Hoyas aren’t careful.

Blue Demons to Know. DePaul is led by a pair of sophomores, returning Rookie of the Year forward Cleveland Melvin (18.0 ppg, 6.2 rpg, 1.2 blk pg) and guard Brandon Young (16.9 ppg, 4.7 apg, 1.9 stl pg). Melvin, like Moe Harkless of St. John’s, is a lithe 6’8″ but can make plays in the lane and on the offensive glass, where he scoops nearly two of his teammates’ misses per game. Young, although he hoists nearly four and a half threes per game, does most of his damage inside the arc and in transition. Senior guard Jeremiah Kelly (9.6 ppg, 3.9 apg, 37.5 3FG%) shares ball-handling duties with Young and, along with a third sophomore, forward Moses Morgan (8.1 ppg, 35.2 3FG%), provides the Blue Demons with outside shooting.

When DePaul Has the Ball.

Blue Demons’ Strength. Protecting the ball. Don’t let Melvin’s and Young’s offensive numbers fool you: the Blue Demons struggle to score. Sure, DePaul scores 76 points a game, but they play at such a fast pace that those larger numbers are more the product of volume than efficiency. Taken on a per-possession basis, the Blue Demon’s numbers fall back down to Earth, and then some. DePaul is 13th in the conference in offensive efficiency, and has been dead last since conference play began. But the Blue Demons still protect the ball well: despite their frenetic pace, they commit just 14 turnovers per game, preserving plenty of extra possessions each game.

Hoyas’ Strength. Forcing bad shots. Georgetown locked down on defense against St. John’s, showing flashes of its non-conference form while forcing the Red Storm to miss nearly 70 percent of their shots. DePaul isn’t quite as bad as St. John’s from the field, but the Demons have ranked last in the Big East in two-point percentage since conference play began, and just thirteenth in shooting more generally. But Georgetown will need to be dialed in on defense. The Blue Demons try more than 22 three-pointers per game; although they make just one out of every three tries, one hot hand could cause a lot of discomfort for the Blue and Gray. The Hoyas’ length, particularly when freshmen Otto Porter and Greg Whittington are in the game, will be essential to denying open DePaul looks.

Looming Question. Will the zone work? Georgetown has employed a zone defense effectively throughout the season, particularly against St. John’s, which missed all of its three-pointers, thereby failing to draw out the Hoya defenders. The 2-3 look could slow down the Demons’ manic attack, but only if the Hoyas can keep an eye on Kelly and Morgan, who figure to put pressure on the zone by taking any open look from deep.

When Georgetown Has the Ball.

Hoyas’ Strength. Finding quality shots. DePaul will look to press Georgetown whenever possible, contesting the Hoyas full-court. But once the Hoyas get the ball over half court, the coast is clear. The Blue Demons give up a ton of transition points, making their two-point defense 305th in the country and last in the conference. They’ve also struggled to defend the three since Big East play  began, ranking last in that category as well.

Blue Demons’ Strength. Forcing turnovers. But getting the ball to an open shooter is no easy task, since the Blue Demons force turnovers on nearly a quarter of opponents’ possessions, the fifth-best mark in the conference. Rather than getting a hand in the face of each shooter, DePaul strives to run its opponent into the ground, harassing ball handlers and jumping passing lanes. For a Hoya squad that has given up steals on 15 percent of possessions in conference play, the worst figure in the Big East, protecting the ball will be a priority.

Looming Question. Offensive rebounding? Before Sunday, Georgetown had not been a particularly strong offensive rebounding unit, grabbing a so-so 35 percent of its own misses, while no Hoya grabbed more than two of his teammates’ misses per contest. But then the Hoyas exploited the Red Storm’s glaring weakness, grabbing 18 offensive rebounds and scoring 21 second-chance points. Like St. John’s, DePaul struggles to box out, allowing 39 percent of opponents’ misses as second (or third) chances. Keep an eye on Whittington and Porter on the weak-side boards.

Prediction. There’s a bit more danger in this year’s DePaul squad than in the past few pushovers. That’s not saying much, as the last three Demon outfits managed a combined two Big East wins. But Purnell’s charges are picking up his system a bit better this year. That speed, and the dual scoring threats Melvin and Young, ensure that opponents cannot simply pencil in a win over the Blue Demons this year. The ball-handling of Jason Clark and Markel Starks, and the entire team’s control of the game’s pace, will be essential to picking up yet another conference road win. Georgetown 75, DePaul 64.

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Closeout: Georgetown 69, St. John’s 49

Georgetown wrapped the game on a 21-4 run Sunday afternoon, putting away a tense game with stingy defense and selfless offense. The closing effort impressively punctuated an otherwise uneven game.

Georgetown started the game slowly, scoring just five points over the first eight minutes. The Hoyas settled for three-pointers, several from well beyond the stripe, as the Red Storm racked up transition baskets, building an eight-point lead. But just when pessimism was setting in, the Hoyas’ offense began to click. Jason Clark hit a three out of the timeout, then Henry Sims rattled off five straight points out of the post and short corner. The made baskets allowed to Georgetown to set up its zone, which proved tremendously effective against a St. John’s squad that made nothing all day from deep. The Red Storm went scoreless for more than six minutes, and managed just six more points before the half. For its point, Georgetown shot just 31 percent from the field for the half, and so couldn’t pull away. Still, ten offensive rebounds gave the Hoyas enough extra possessions to take a 25-19 lead into intermission.

In the second half, the Hoyas cracked the St. John’s zone. Georgetown moved the ball more crisply, finding plenty of open looks by weak-side ball reversals. Those clean shots went down, as the Hoyas shot 55 percent from the field after the break. Hollis Thompson led the charge, scoring all 20 of his points in the second half, almost entirely from beyond the arc, where Hollywood hit five treys, and on the break, where he hit a pair of layups.

In addition to improved shooting, Georgetown’s second half offensive surge was fueled by a continued assault on the offensive glass, where the Hoyas gathered eight second-half extra possessions other the top of the Red Storm’s over-matched zone. In all, more Hoya misses were grabbed by the Hoyas themselves (18) than by St. John’s (15). Greg Whittington (8 points, 8 rebounds) and Otto Porter (13 points, 10 rebounds) were particularly aggressive on the glass, gathering six and five offensive rebounds, respectively.

Still, St. John’s hung around, as a pair of Red Storm free throws made the deficit just three with six minutes and change remaining. But then everything the Hoyas did well to that point coalesced. The defensive pressure continued, good ball movement led to easy baskets for whoever was open (five Hoyas scored in the closing kick), and the offensive glass continued to provide easy second chances. At the same time, Georgetown’s main foil, St. John’s freshman stud Moe Harkless (21 points, 10 rebounds), fouled out, leaving the Red Storm without a go-to offensive option. In the end, Georgetown turned a tight game into a seeming blowout, leaving Madison Square Garden with a road win, all the more crucial in the Big East, in which seven of the sixteen teams finished the weekend with two conference losses.  The Hoyas will stay on the road, traveling to Chicago where on Tuesday they’ll face a DePaul squad on the rise. Hoya Saxa.

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Game Preview: Georgetown at St. John’s

Georgetown tries to put the brakes on a two-game skid Sunday when it faces a young version of old rival St. John’s at Madison Square Garden.  Here’s what you need to get yourself ready:

When & Where. Sunday, Jan. 15, 12 p.m. EST, Madison Square Garden.

TV/Internet/Radio. MASN/ESPN3/ESPN980.

It’s Been So Long Since Last We Met. The Hoyas and Red Storm split two decisions last year, with St. John’s nipping Georgetown by three in MSG and the Hoyas exacting 25-point revenge in Verizon a few weeks later. This year, the uniforms look the same, but the bodies filling them do not, particularly for the Redmen, who return just one scholarship player from last year’s squad. The incoming crop was supposed be talented and deep, but expectations have changed: three incoming freshmen failed to qualify (one has since qualified and joined the team), and one of two incoming junior college transfers already transferred back out. That left St. John’s with just seven scholarship players and the need to hold open tryouts. Add in coach Steve Lavin’s ongoing health problems, and it’s no surprise that St. John’s have had an up-and-down year, entering Sunday’s game 8-8. Wins over Providence and Cincinnati (which apparently fueled a more inspired Bearcat effort against the Hoyas) paper over losses to Detroit and Northeastern.

Red Storm to Know. With all the departures from last year’s NCAA Tournament team, plus this year’s turmoil, the Red Storm have just seven scholarship players. Up front, St. John’s leans heavily on juco transfer and First Team All-Name power forward God’s Gift Achiuwa, who muscles his way to 12.1 points and 6.9 rebounds per game. Freshman wings D’Angelo Harrison (15.6 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 1.6 stl pg) and Moe Harkless (15.4 ppg, 8.4 rpg, 1.6 stl pg, 1.8 blk pg) power the St. John’s perimeter attack, with Harkless in particular making a strong case for Big East Rookie of the Year. The Red Storm’s leading assist man is freshman guard Phil Greene (6.1 ppg, 2.4 apg), though that honor is tempered by the Red Storm’s poor shooting and passing.

When St. John’s Has the Ball.

Red Storm’s Strength. Getting to the line. The Red Storm’s offense is…how to put it…not good. St. John’s ranks last in the Big East in offensive efficiency, a number that’s improved only marginally since conference play began. They connect on just 25 percent of three-pointers, the fourth-worst mark in the nation. Things don’t improve inside the arc, where the Johnnies get nearly 13 percent of their shots blocked, the second-worst mark in the conference. The Red Storm also rank in the bottom half of the conference in two-point percentage, offensive rebounding, and turnover rate. So to recap, they don’t shoot very well, and don’t give themselves many extra chances to shoot by protecting the ball or grabbing their own misses. But they do get to the line fairly well, enough to shoot 25 free throws per game, and in conference play they’ve been shooting pretty well, making 74 percent of their tries. And you can’t block free throws.

Hoyas’ Strength. Forcing bad shots. Despite the Hoyas’ recently porous defense, they remain a solid squad overall, ranking 22nd nationally in defensive efficiency.  When locked in, Georgetown denies good looks better than most teams in the country. The Hoyas are especially adept at closing out at the three-point line, holding their opponents below 29 percent from three for the season, a figure that aligns nicely with the Red Storm’s woeful three-point percentage.

Looming Question. Perimeter Stopper?  While the Hoyas can prevent St. John’s guards from raining three balls, they also need to contain the dribble drive. The Hoyas looked defensively stout for much of the preseason, but recently have been shredded by opposing guards Darius Johnson-Odom (for 27 minutes, anyway), Truck Bryant, Sean Kilpatrick, and Dion Dixon. While St. John’s doesn’t have a ton of firepower offensively, Harkless and Harrison can both get to the rim. Georgetown might lock them down by showing more zone than it did against Cincinnati.

When Georgetown Has the Ball.

Hoyas’ Strength. Shooting. Lost in the furor (a healthy dose from this site) of the Cincinnati collapse was that the Hoyas actually shot pretty well, netting nearly 60 percent of their shots. Even with the eyesore shooting performance against Providence, Georgetown leads the Big East in effective field goal percentage during conference play. On the other side of the ball, the Red Storm have struggled, giving up 55 percent or better shooting in two of their five conference games, playing the third-worst shot prevention defense in conference play as a whole.

Red Storm’s Strength. Not fouling. Somehow St. John’s is nearly the best in the country at not sending its opponents to the free-throw line. Whether it faced a bunch of jump shooters in non-conference play, plays toreador defense, or has found some magic formula is unclear. But the Hoyas shouldn’t expect a bunch of free tosses Sunday.

Looming Question. Turnovers. The Red Storm aren’t Cincinnati or even West Virginia when it comes to forcing turnovers, but the Hoyas need to right the ship. Since conference play started, Georgetown ranks 13th in the Big East in turnover rate, and are committing miscues on more than 22 percent of their possessions. Many of these giveaways are of the routine or unforced variety, as players dribble into double coverage, lazily make skip passes across multiple defenders, or simply handle the ball timidly. The next two Hoya foes, DePaul and Rutgers, are on the rise and thrive in particular on making turnovers. Sunday is the last chance to correct some bad habits.

Looming Question #2. Offensive rebounding? St. John’s is an undersized squad that correspondingly struggles to rebound: the Red Storm yield nearly 37 percent of opponents’ misses as second (or third, or fourth) chances, a number that has risen against taller Big East opponents. The Hoyas, meanwhile, have struggled to clean the offensive glass in conference, but have the perfect opportunity Sunday. Henry Sims, Otto Porter and Nate Lubick all should get easy second chances against a smaller St. John’s defense. A second bounce-back game for Lubick, who had eight points and eight rebounds against Cincinnati, and a strong Sims performance, would be particularly welcome.

Prediction. Things have been worse. Last year, Georgetown opened conference play on a 1-4 skid that had everyone thinking the worst, then closed the season with an injured star and five straight losses. Unlike last year, the Hoyas have far exceeded expectations this season, riding youthful energy and encouraging development to a remarkable start. This week, when the Hoyas moved back into their dorms, offered them a few days to rest, practice, and re-focus after a harried six-day, three-game stretch. The Big East schedule never affords breaks, and the coming pair of games, in two time zones against two young, hungry squads over three days, will be a test. On Sunday, expect the Hoyas’ superior size, experience, and depth to be too much for the Red Storm.  Georgetown 64, St. John’s 55.

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Self-inflicted: Cincinnati 68, Georgetown 64

Georgetown shot itself in the feet over, and over, and over again Monday, snatching defeat from the jaws of victory en route to a 68-64 loss to Cincinnati. The loss was more vexing than most, as it was caused almost entirely by the Hoyas’ own mental mistakes.

Despite their errors, the Hoyas led for much of the game, building a 59-53 lead with just under six minutes remaining. But then they just collapsed, failing to score another field goal until a meaningless last-second lay-up. They left points, possessions, and other opportunities on the floor in every way imaginable. Careless, timid, and half-hearted passes lead to pointless turnovers, 17 in all. Missed defensive assignments allowed Bearcat guards Sean Kilpatrick and Dion Dixon to shake free time and again for 27 and 22 points, respectively, belying the Hoyas’ supposed defensive improvement. And the Hoyas’ offensive woes and mental miscues down the stretch debunked any rumors about their clutch play.

There are two particularly unfortunate aspects of this debacle. The first is that it wasn’t all bad: Georgetown actually shot well for most of the game, making 59 percent overall despite the late-game slump. Jason Clark and Hollis Thompson shot a combined 11 of 13 from the floor, netting 14 points apiece, though each missed his last shot and was largely absent down the stretch. And Nate Lubick had a strong performance, finishing with eight points and eight rebounds, and establishing a nice high-low combination with Otto Porter that led to several baskets. Hot shooting from Georgetown’s two leading scorers combined with solid contributions from the young guys should lead to a win.

But the slip-ups were simply too many, bringing us to the second especially irritating detail: the team’s veterans were largely to blame for the late-game collapse. Seniors Clark and Henry Sims led the Hoyas in turnovers, committing nine between them, while Clark and, especially, Thompson simply disappeared with the game on the line. Also among those veterans facing criticism should be JTIII. The squad repeatedly looked out-of-sorts coming out of second-half timeouts, failing to execute any discernible play, including one in the last minute with the game on the line. Ultimately, an 11-2 stretch “run” by the Bearcats over nearly six minutes spelled doom for the Hoyas.

The Hoyas now have suffered back-to-back losses against teams that seem to thrive on making the game frustrating. The thrilling last-minute wins, miraculous comebacks, and winning streaks all seem to be a distant memory, rather than one of three days ago. At the very minimum, the shoe’s on the other foot. The flaws we all knew were lingering–the lack of a truly reliable veteran, the unproven depth–bore their heads over the past four halves. And the supposed virtues of youth, length, and confidence all seem a bit more tenuous. Morning, and looking forward to the next game (and, in the case of the players a few days of needed rest and practice beforehand) probably will bring calmer nerves, a bit more perspective, and maybe even a refreshed optimism. But for now, we’ll just lick our self-inflicted wounds.

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Game Preview: Cincinnati at Georgetown

Georgetown will seek to rebound quickly from its first Big East loss Monday night; so, too, will the Hoyas’ guest, Cincinnati. The conference’s top half is suddenly fluid, as expected middle-of-the-road finishers Hoyas, Bearcats, West Virginia, and Seton Hall all have just one Big East loss, while expected contenders Connecticut, Louisville, and Marquette each have dropped two conference games apiece. The slot behind front-runner Syracuse is wide open, making Monday’s showdown all the more important. Let’s get you ready:

When & Where. Monday, Jan. 9, 7 p.m. EST, Verizon Center.

TV/Radio. ESPNU/ESPN980.

It’s Been So Long Since Last We Met. The Bearcats knocked off the Hoyas twice last year; in the first game, Chris Wright broke his hand in a game that wasn’t going to the Hoyas’ way, and in the second, Wright remained sidelined. Cincinnati went on to win a game in the tournament before falling to the eventual NCAA champion UConn Huskies. The top four Bearcat scorers came back this year, but the fifth through eighth leading scorers all moved on. Still, this year seemed destined to continue Cincinnati’s upward trajectory under coach Mick Cronin, whose teams have improved every year under him. But it’s been up and down for Cincinnati this year, including losses to Presbyterian, Marshall, and Xavier, the last embarrassingly ending in a brawl. That fight supposedly rallied the Bearcats, who subsequently tore off a seven-game winning streak comprised of blowouts of bottom feeders and squeakers past good clubs. A dubious narrative, to be sure, and one that was interrupted by Saturday’s two-point home loss to a less experienced, less deep St. John’s team, which dropped the Bearcats to 12-4, 2-1 on the year.

Bearcats to Know. Cincinnati is anchored in the middle by senior power forward Yancy Gates, who is third on the team in scoring (12.4 ppg) and first in rebounding (9.1 rpg). Surrounding Gates is a four-guard alignment, including sophomore leading scorer Sean Kilpatrick (15.7 ppg, 5.1 rpg), senior Dion Dixon (13.1 ppg, 4.0 rpg), junior Cashmere Wright (10.8 ppg, 3.3 rpg, 4.9 apg), and junior Jaquon Parker (10.6 ppg, 5.9 rpg). The four guards are all 6’4″ or shorter, creating some match-up problems that Cronin generally resolves by coaxing more effort out of his undersized line-up. When he seeks a bigger line-up, Cronin turns to 6’8″ senior forward Justin Jackson (5.1 ppg, 5.2 rpg, 1.7 bpg) who, with Gates, forms a sizeable line-up that bolsters defense at the expense of offense.

When Cincinnati Has the Ball.

Bearcats’ Strength. Protecting the ball. Throwing all those guards on the court helps with ball-handling, and Cincinnati ranks in the top 20 nationally in turnover percentage. The Bearcats commit only 11.4 turnovers per game, a figure which, adjusted for pace, ranks third in the Big East. By protecting the ball, each of the Bearcats can find his looks, whether it’s inside and in the mid-range to Gates or outside to Kilpatrick, Wright, and Parker, all of whom shoot better than 36 percent from three. Just don’t expect much passing, as Cincinnati ranks 14th in the Big East in the number of assists the Bearcats generate per basket.

Hoyas’ Strength. Forcing bad shots. Those outside looks shouldn’t come easily against the Hoyas, who rate in the top 20 nationally at defending the three, where they give up just 28.6 percent of opponents’ threes. Marquette and West Virginia did better from deep, shooting 40 percent from three between them against Georgetown, and the Hoyas’ defense has struggled a bit as Big East play gets underway. In comments after the loss to the Mountaineers, JTIII underscored his disappointment with the defensive effort. And Cincinnati, which struggles to shoot well, particularly inside the arc, presents a perfect bounce-back opportunity. Expect improved attention to stopping Cincinnati Monday.

Looming Question. Who guards Gates? At 6’9″, 260 lb., Gates is a handful down low, especially when properly motivated. He proved as much in two games against the Hoyas last year, in which he averaged 15 points and 8 rebounds. Georgetown previously has struggled two other power forwards, West Virginia’s Kevin Jones on Saturday and Kansas’s Thomas Robinson near the beginning of the year. While each of those players is better than Gates, all three are big, bruising types who can draw early fouls that cause late-game problems. Keeping Nate Lubick out of foul trouble and fresh bodies on Gates will be essential to slowing him down.

When Georgetown Has the Ball.

Hoyas’ Strength. Offensive rebounding. Cincinnati is generally an excellent defensive team, ranking high in several key indicators. A notable exception to that trend is rebounding, where the Bearcats give up more than 35 percent of opponents’ misses as offensive rebounds, a number that ranks them 13th in the Big East. Georgetown has been a solid if unspectacular offensive rebounding team this year. Monday, the Hoyas will enjoy a size advantage that practically begs to them to crash the boards.

Bearcats’ Strength. Forcing turnovers. As noted above, the Bearcats excel at a number of aspects of defense. They particularly are adept at forcing turnovers, which they do on roughly one-quarter of all possessions, the fifth best mark in the conference (directly trailing previous Hoya foes Marquette and Louisville). Georgetown has proven too willing to give up the ball in recent games, and must avoid the unnecessary miscues Monday night.

Looming Question. Fourth option? Georgetown’s success this year has depended in large part on finding a variety of offensive options. In eight of the first nine games of the Hoyas’ recently ended winning streak, at least one of the underclassmen scored in double figures. In the past three games, none of have done so. Markel Starks, who earlier seemed to emerge as a fourth option after the three upperclassmen, recently has battled a shooting slump and a scary head injury against Marquette. Nate Lubick has yet to score in double figures this year, having seen his point totals actually decrease from his freshman campaign. The Hoyas will need offensive depth to be able to contend throughout conference play, including against Cincinnati.

Prediction. Georgetown was embarrassed by a talented Cincinnati squad twice last year, and looked less than impressive in a loss to West Virginia on Saturday. Those three losses should provide ample motivation for a more focused defensive effort Monday. And the Hoyas are due for a bounce-back performance from one of the underclassmen. The Bearcats’ aggressive play and stingy defense will make any game against them a challenge. Expect a close battle with a strong Hoya finish. Georgetown 66, Cincinnati 61.

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Eyesore: West Virginia 74, Georgetown 62

Georgetown’s eleven-game winning streak came to a grinding halt Saturday as the Hoyas fell to West Virgina, 74-62. The Hoyas led 4-0 but, despite a few ties, never again, trailing by multiple possessions for most of the choppy contest against a physical Mountaineer squad. Georgetown could never get in an offensive rhythm, committing a slew of first-half turnovers while shooting just 40 percent from the field.

Still, the margin was just two points at intermission, and three with less than ten minutes remaining. But the lead soon swelled to eleven as West Virginia kept the Hoyas out of sync, and gradually pulled away. While a late run spurred by Georgetown’s full-court press pulled the Hoyas within four, the Mountaineers iced the game at the free-throw line. 

As usual, West Virginia was led by its two seniors. Forward Kevin Jones, the team’s leading scorer and rebounder on the season, notched 22 points and a game-high 16 rebounds. Georgetown held him relatively in check on the offensive boards, where he grabbed just three rebounds, two below his season average. But the Hoyas offered him plenty of bricks to pluck off the defensive boards, and he seized the opportunity. On offense, Jones did what he wanted to, using his wide 6’8″ frame to score in the lane, mid-range, and even from three. Fellow senior Darryl “Truck” Bryant led all scorers with 25 points, 19 of which game in the second half.

Georgetown, for its part, had plenty of contributions from its upperclassmen. Hollis Thompson led all Hoyas with 20 points, while Jason Clark and Henry Sims added 10 apiece. Clark and Sims, though not enjoying their best days from the field, also contributed in other ways, with Clark picking up five steals and two blocks, and Sims gathering five rebounds and handing out six assists.

But, with Sims shooting just 3 of 10 from the field and Clark missing all 4 of this three-pointers, no other Hoya stepped up offensively. Nate Lubick had a pair of buckets but then fouled out in just 15 minutes of action, and Markel Starks and the four freshmen combined to shoot just 6 of 20 from the field. The Hoyas particularly struggled from the three-point line, where they made just 2 of 14 heaves.

West Virginia has vexed Georgetown in recent years, having won five straight against the Hoyas dating back to the 2008-09 season. The Hoyas struggle to adapt to the Mountaineers’ grinding, physical brand of ball. For brief stretches of each half Saturday, JTIII seemed to find the answer, employing a full-court pressure that forced the young West Virginia guards into several turnovers. But the veteran guard Bryant was more adept at handling the press, easily passing over and around the Hoyas’ attack. On offense, Georgetown seemed to mostly score on broken plays, as Clark and Thompson sought out their shots outside the typical offensive sets.

Of the eleven straight it rattled off, Georgetown won four by three points or fewer. Those thin margins, combined with the tough match-up against West Virginia and the hostile arena, finally caught up with the Hoyas Saturday. But the Hoyas have little time to navel-gaze after the loss, as they return to action Monday night against a talented if inconsistent Cincinnati team. A preview of that game follows tomorrow morning.

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Game Preview: #9 Georgetown at West Virginia

Georgetown travels to Morgantown Saturday to take on an always-tough West Virginia squad in an always-hostile arena. A win would give the Hoyas twelve straight for the first time in the JTIII era. (Georgetown has won eleven straight once previously under III, in the 2006-07 season when, you know, the Hoyas went to the Final Four.) But Georgetown hasn’t beaten West Virginia since 2007-08, so it’ll be an uphill battle. Here’s what you need to get yourself ready.

When & Where. Saturday, Jan. 7, 12 p.m. EST, Morgantown, W. Va.

TV/Internet/Radio. MASN/ESPN3/ESPN 980.

It’s Been So Long Since Last We Met. West Virginia is in its fifth season under coach Bob Huggins; each of the previous four has resulted in 21 or more wins. The Mountaineers have started this year 11-4, and appear to be headed toward a similarly solid result, though perhaps not quite the same great heights as 2010′s Final Four run. A win in double overtime over #25 Kansas State in a virtual road game (think GU-Mizzou last year) looks quite good, as do double-digit wins over Miami (home), Villanova (home), and Rutgers (away). Even a two-point overtime loss to top-5 Baylor is respectable. But double-digit losses to Kent State, Mississippi State, and Seton Hall, while none are ghastly, must be worrying to the Mountaineer faithful.

Mountaineers to Know. West Virginia must replace much of last year’s veteran team, including Casey Mitchell, John Flowers, and Joe Mazzula. But do-everything senior forward Kevin Jones returns, and leads the team in scoring (19.6 ppg) and rebounding (11.6 rpg). Fellow senior Darryl Bryant (18.1 ppg, 3.1 apg, 2.9 rpg) mans the back court, while junior post (and everyone’s favorite Turkish collegiate) Deniz Kilicli (11.2 ppg, 5.6 rpg) patrols the middle. Adding some depth is a trio of freshmen, guards Jabarie Hinds (8.2 ppg, 4.0 apg) and Gary Browne (6.2 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 3.1 apg), as well as forward Aaron Brown (5.8 ppg, 1.7 rpg).

When West Virginia Has the Ball.

Mountaineers’ Strength. Offensive rebounding.  I might as well just have plugged in this strength without looking. The three years before this, West Virginia has finished in the top 10 nationally in grabbing its own misses, and this year the Mountaineers are back at it, ranking 18th in that category. No one does it better than the 6’8″, 260-lb. Jones, who scarfs up nearly 5 offensive rebounds per game, leading the team in that category for the third straight year. You won’t see as many videos on the Mountaineers’ rebounding as on the Hoyas’ smooth cutting and passing. But all those rebounds lead to extra shots, and in turn extra points.

Hoyas’ Strength. Forcing turnovers. Georgetown survived its own disastrous ball-protection against Marquette partly by forcing the Golden Eagles into 16 miscues. The Mountaineers also struggle to protect the ball, allowing nearly 15 takeaways per game. They’re particularly bad at giving up steals, where they rank 15th in the Big East. Georgetown’s freshmen proved adept at hawking Marquette’s guards down the stretch Wednesday night; similar pressure Saturday may produce the extra possessions the Hoyas need to balance out West Virginia’s offensive rebounding prowess.

Looming Question. Power Forward? Jones is a unique player who dominates the glass but also likes to step out to the perimeter, where he hoists nearly four three-pointers per contest. Then again, he’s not very gifted from deep, connecting on just 22 percent of threes. Will JTIII turn to Nate Lubick, who can body Jones down low? If so, he may concede a few (probably errant) jumpers from Jones, with whom Lubick may struggle to keep up on the outside. Or will Otto Porter get more minutes, as he has in recent contests? Porter can patrol the perimeter while also, despite his lithe frame, grabbing his share of rebounds.

When Georgetown Has the Ball.

Hoyas’ Strength. High-percentage shooting. That should be no surprise to anyone who’s followed the Hoyas in the last eight years: they make shots. This year, Georgetown actually has a somewhat lower shooting number than in years past, ranking just 42nd nationally. (They’ve made up the difference and then some in improved ball protection and on defense.) The Mountaineers are a solid defensive bunch, but allow plenty of clean looks for their opponents, who connect on more than 48 percent of their two-pointers, a below-average number nationally. In their last four games, against three Big East foes and Baylor, West Virginia has been particularly generous, giving up 53 percent shooting from two and 47 percent from the field more generally.

Mountaineers’ Strength. Turnovers. West Virgina’s strength is not exactly a stand-out category: it ranks just eighth in the Big East and 76th nationally in takeaways. (Actually, the Mountaineers rank third in the Big East in opponents’ free-throw percentage, but unless they’re committing fouls by amputation, that number is basically outside their control.) But Georgetown shown signs of loose ball-handling recently, committing 16 turnovers against Louisville and 17 against Marquette. Watching the quick hands of Jones, Bryant, Hinds, and Browne, each of whom averages a steal or better per game, will be imperative.

Looming Question. Starks?  Markel Starks took a nasty fall in the first half against Marquette, having his head slammed to the ground under the weight of a falling Marquette player. He appeared woozy when he stood up, and played ineffectively the rest of the game. There has been an increased focus on and understanding of brain injuries in sports, underscoring that Starks’s health is paramount. Whenever he is fit to play, the Hoyas could use his ball-handling, poise, and timely scoring.

Prediction. Morgantown always seems to be a tough place to play, whether it’s 2008′s last-second win preserved by Pat Ewing Jr.’s block, or 2010′s rout suffered while Austin Freeman was left behind, seeking treatment that revealed his diabetes. And, venue aside, the Mountaineers are always a grinding opponent, working for every inch under the boards until the last minute (see 2010 Big East final). Watching their offensive rebounding can be frustrating for opposing fans, who aren’t privy to the preparation that leads to such prowess. Georgetown has proven willing and able this year to grind away, erasing large deficits and prevailing in hostile environment. Saturday will be a new test for the Hoyas. Expect a tooth-and-nail game with another last-minute decision.  Georgetown 70, West Virginia 68.

Ed.: for old times’ sake:

Hoya Saxa!

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