Georgetown will try to win its third straight Saturday when it returns home to host a feisty Rutgers team. Here’s what you need to get yourself ready.
When & Where. Saturday, Jan. 21, 12 p.m. EST, Verizon Center.
TV/Internet/Radio. MASN/ESPN3/SportsTalk570.
It’s Been So Long Since Last We Met. In his second year at the helm, coach Mike Rice has one of the youngest teams in the country. Rice favors a deep rotation, trotting out 10 different players for at least 10 minutes per game. That group includes five freshmen, three sophomores, and two juniors, making Georgetown’s young lineup look grizzled by comparison. Aside from a couple of blips though (a loss to Princeton, barely edging Dartmouth), Rutgers has looked and played much better than last year, when a senior-heavy squad went just 5-13 in the Big East. Highlights among the Scarlet Knights’ 11-8, 3-3 tally so far include home wins over Florida and Connecticut and a dominating 23-point win at an admittedly slumping (free-falling?) Pittsburgh.
Scarlet Knights to Know. Rice’s rotations prevent any one player from dominating the headlines, but there’s definitely a youth movement afoot in New Jersey. Freshmen guards Eli Carter (13.7 ppg, 2.2 apg, 1.2 stl pg) and Jerome Seagears (7.7 ppg, 2.3 apg) lead the Scarlet Knight attack. Fellow freshman guard (and, along with Carter, St. Anthony’s (N.J.) alumnus) Myles Mack (10.2 ppg, 2.1 apg, 1.5 stl pg) comes off the bench but enjoys roughly equal playing time to his two classmates and packs a similar scoring punch. All three are capable if not exceptional long-distance shooters, and each excels at creating plays off the bounce. In addition to the influx of back-court talent, Rutgers returns two starters. Sophomore forward Gilvydas Biruta (9.9 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 1.1 stl pg) brings size and energy, while junior forward Dane Miller (7.0 ppg, 6.2 rpg, 1.5 stl pg, 1.9 blk pg). Overall, the Scarlet Knights have been transformed into an energetic, tough bunch, a reflection of Rice’s intensity.
When Rutgers Has the Ball.
Scarlet Knights’ Strength. Offensive rebounding. That energy and toughness haven’t translated to great offensive production so far. Rutgers hasn’t scored 70 or more in Big East play yet, and sports middling shooting numbers. But the Scarlet Knights get after it on the offensive boards, grabbing more than 38 percent of their own misses, a top-25 mark nationally. While that number has dipped during conference play, the Knights will continue to attack the rim Saturday. Georgetown dominated the boards against both DePaul and St. John’s and will need to do so again against Rutgers.
Hoyas’ Strength. Use length to force bad shots. Georgetown has held five Big East opponents under 45 percent shooting, winning each of those contests, and failed to do so in two conference games, both losses. The Scarlet Knights aren’t great shooters. The Hoyas’ length should limit perimeter looks for Rutgers’ undersized back-court. They’ll still need to contain the Knights’ guards penetration, an issue that crept up against Cincinnati and West Virginia.
Looming Question. Press? Rutgers’ biggest offensive weakness is protecting the ball: the Knights give the ball away 15 times per game, and Carter, Mack, Biruta, and Miller each average at least two miscues apiece. While Georgetown’s defense hasn’t taken the ball away in conference play at the same rate it did earlier in the season, the Hoyas pressured and trapped their way to several easy transition baskets against DePaul. Extending the defense against Rutgers’s young back-court may produce a similar slew of open buckets.
When Georgetown Has the Ball.
Hoyas’ Strength. Establish Henry Sims. Big Hank will have a height advantage on whoever is guarding him, whether Rice throws Biruta, freshman Derrick Randall, or junior Austin Johnson, all 6’8″, at the big fella. And Rutgers as a whole is prone to foul trouble, rating last in the conference in the number of free throws it yields compared to shots overall. Those foul shots come more easily when the Hoyas use Sims, whether driving from the high post or getting position down low. Finally, the Hoyas are second in the conference in field goal percentage: the clean looks needed to make so many shots come a lot more easily when their leading assist man, Sims, is opening up opportunities for perimeter shooters.
Scarlet Knights’ Strength. Forcing turnovers. As against DePaul, Georgetown’s offensive weakness is the opponent’s strength. Rutgers’s scrappy defensive attack forces nine steals per game, with five different Scarlet Knights averaging better than a steal per game. The Hoyas, for their part, have been in the bottom quarter of the league in turnover rate during conference play. Sims and Jason Clark have given the ball away the most, due in part to their high usage rate. But better protecting the ball must be a point of emphasis for all of the Hoyas against the Knights’ sticky fingers. Hopefully Markel Starks, who missed the DePaul game with a stomach illness, will return to help with ball-handling.
Looming Question. Offensive rebounding? The Hoyas have emerged as an offensive rebounding force in the last two games, grabbing better than fifty percent of their own misses. Rutgers, like St. John’s and DePaul, struggles to keep its opponents off the offensive glass, ranking just 11th in the league and below 200th nationally in that category. In addition to Sims’s expected size advantage, Greg Whittington, Otto Porter, and Hollis Thompson all may be able to grab boards over their defenders’ heads.
Prediction. Rutgers has been fairly predictable over the past several years: tricky in New Jersey, tame elsewhere. Since 2000, Rutgers has lost all nine games against the Hoyas in D.C., but has battled them to a nearly even 4-5 draw in New Brunswick. This year, in addition to being downright dangerous at home, the Scarlet Knights have shown signs of life on the road, drubbing a(n admittedly reeling) Pitt team that enjoys a substantial home court advantage. Saturday, Georgetown will enjoy superior experience and size, and should use both to its advantage. But, as seen most clearly in DePaul’s eight-point possession Tuesday, turnovers can prove a killer if the Hoyas aren’t careful. Georgetown 68, Rutgers 58.
Ed. Note 1/20/2012: Sophomore center Moses Ayegba, who suffered a torn ACL over the summer, appears to be making some progress toward a return. The Post‘s Tarik El-Bashir tweeted Monday that Ayegba has been cleared for “controlled, non-contact drills” and was on the floor during practice before the Hoyas’ game against DePaul. Yesterday, Elliott Smith of CBSSports.com posted that Ayegba participated in “limited drills” but that JTIII stated that a decision concerning Ayegba’s return was “several weeks away.” Given the difference between drills and full game play, Ayegba’s previous inexperience, and Thompson’s projected time frame, Ayegba’s return, previously presumed to be next season, does not seem imminent. Any return likely would have implications for his ability to obtain a medical redshirt, and the additional year of eligibility, for this year’s injury.
Escape: Georgetown 52, Rutgers 50
Georgetown overcame its worst shooting stretch of the season Saturday, combining defensive discipline and clutch free-throw shooting to eke out a 52-50 win over Rutgers. The Hoyas trailed for nearly the entire game, leading just three times for a combined one and a half minutes. But it was the last lead, brought about by six straight points by freshman Otto Porter, that gave Georgetown the decisive advantage.
It was tough sledding from the get-go for the Hoyas, who made just one field goal in the first six minutes, and just two in the first ten, all while falling behind 13-7. Rutgers brought defensive identity from the opening tip, denying Georgetown on the perimeter, and fishing out the ball from the post. The Hoyas, unable to find the open looks to which they were accustomed, resorted to out-of-rhythm hoists that inevitably bricked. Things didn’t get much better as the half wore on, as Porter’s jumper with 9:39 remaining was the Hoyas’ third and last field goal of the half. Still, Georgetown stayed in it, effectively mixing zone and man defenses to stifle the Scarlet Knight offense. The Hoyas erased a six-point Rutgers lead and even took the lead on two Nate Lubick free throws with 4:25 remaining.
Foul shots were the theme of the afternoon, as the flip side of the Scarlet Knights’ defensive tenacity was their relentless fouling. The Hoyas were sent to the line for 18 first-half free throws and, in a welcome recovery from their recent woes, made 14. On the day, Georgetown shot 36 free-throws, making 25 (both second this season only to the Hoyas’ 29-of-42 performance against Howard). Unfortunately, Lubick’s makes were Georgetown’s last points of the half, and a two-point Hoya lead became a five-point disadvantage by the half.
While the Hoyas’ offensive struggles continued into the second half, Rutgers never pulled away, building a lead that never stretched past six. Georgetown, for all its shooting woes, actually played a pretty good game otherwise. A Hoya team that has struggled with turnovers recently committed 14 on Saturday–a number that, while not exactly stingy, was good enough against a sticky-fingered Rutgers defense. And Georgetown continued its recent dominance on the boards, nabbing four more offensive rebounds than Rutgers (even though the Scarlet Knights missed four more shots). Finally, the Hoyas played pretty good defense themselves, holding Rutgers under 38 percent from the field, and to a similarly low number from two. As has been the case several times this season, the Hoya freshmen receive much of the credit for the defensive performance, as Porter, Greg Whittington (7 points, 5 rebounds) and Jabril Trawick (2 points, 2 assists) each brought defensive grit, particularly in the second half.
Tough defense and a brief spout of offensive competence finally got the Hoyas back in the game, tying it at 38 midway through the second half. Ties followed at 40 and 42, followed–at last!–by a Hoya lead, 44-42. Opportunity no sooner appeared than it seemed to slip away, thanks to renewed offensive ineptitude. The Hoyas managed just a point for more than four minutes, while Rutgers rebuilt a five-point lead with barely two minutes to play.
But in a game of shifting fortunes, the pendulum swung once more. The Hoyas locked down on defense and found yet another hero in a season full of them. After a Henry Sims free throw (team highs with 12 points, 10 rebounds, 3 blocks) made the deficit four, Georgetown got three straight stout defensive stops. Each time, the Hoyas gave the ball to Porter. Lubick stole the ball then arced a beautiful full-court pass to a streaking Porter, who laid the ball in to trim the difference to two. After Jason Clark (11 points, 5 rebounds) drew an offensive foul, Porter hit a mid-range jumper to even the game with barely a minute to play. A perfect defensive possession resulted in a desperation Rutgers three, giving the Hoyas the unlikely chance to win, which Porter converted from the line with eight seconds remaining.
This win, like the one over Providence on New Year’s Eve, is sort of a Rorschach test for the fan’s feelings about the Hoyas. The optimist will assert that the Hoyas, in seasons past a strong offensive team that struggled when their shots weren’t falling, have found new ways to win. To be sure, there’s support for this view. As mentioned above, the Hoyas put in a strong performance on defense and on the boards, weaknesses in seasons gone by. And Georgetown has now won three games in which it has failed to score sixty points (Providence and Alabama being the two others), a feat which it accomplished not at all last year and just once the season before.
Of course, there’s ample material for the pessimist as well. The offensive droughts were excruciating, an echo of struggles throughout this season. With Markel Starks (three points) struggling recently, it’s hard to shake the nagging feeling that the Hoyas are one scorer short. Saturday, that feeling was more than nagging, as the Hoyas shot just 3 of 24 in the first half and less than 30 percent for the game.
Whose view prevails remains to be seen. But Georgetown finished a three-game stretch against inferior but tricky teams: St. John’s with young offensive promise; DePaul with harried pressure; and Rutgers with sticky, grabbing defense. As they should have, the Hoyas won all three. Those wins look all the more essential when looking at the standings where, behind the hated
(and, alas, undefeated)Orange, there’s a logjam of five teams with two losses apiece.Now, Georgetown enjoys a week before traveling to Pittsburgh. In the meantime, Hoya Saxa.
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